{
  "version": 1,
  "modelVersion": "baseline-v1",
  "sampleNote": "Snapshot-scoped: calls are logged only for markets present in the top-volume snapshot at call time. This is NOT a random sample of all Polymarket markets; the Brier figures are 'snapshot-scoped' and must be read with that selection caveat.",
  "entries": [
    {
      "callId": "0c2c37a6253c254c",
      "conditionId": "0xd4e77ba6f29fc093509d24f508631abd445ecf506bbdc9c4c80e60256a318527",
      "marketId": "616902",
      "eventSlug": "how-many-fed-rate-cuts-in-2026",
      "eventTitle": "How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?",
      "category": "Business",
      "question": "Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?",
      "modelVersion": "baseline-v1",
      "modelProb": 0.6583,
      "crowdProbAtCallTime": 0.7115,
      "divergencePp": -5.3,
      "openedAt": "2026-05-16T15:57:59.048740+00:00",
      "status": "PENDING",
      "resolvedAt": null,
      "resolvedOutcome": null,
      "modelBrier": null,
      "marketBrier": null,
      "voidReason": null
    },
    {
      "callId": "9e2253808468fc84",
      "conditionId": "0x4d0c4865bdecc5f7971dbab47bb6c069d93909dec75bdff52fb766ae6094a6d6",
      "marketId": "2155023",
      "eventSlug": "trump-announces-us-blockade-of-hormuz-lifted-by",
      "eventTitle": "Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?",
      "category": "Strait of Hormuz",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?",
      "modelVersion": "baseline-v1",
      "modelProb": 0.5373,
      "crowdProbAtCallTime": 0.49,
      "divergencePp": 4.7,
      "openedAt": "2026-05-16T15:57:59.051668+00:00",
      "status": "PENDING",
      "resolvedAt": null,
      "resolvedOutcome": null,
      "modelBrier": null,
      "marketBrier": null,
      "voidReason": null
    },
    {
      "callId": "674c4810dc5492b6",
      "conditionId": "0x9769f78cbc95a5ed11895e6064bac471d8fd8f930b260cf581b68d3f58630d27",
      "marketId": "2155052",
      "eventSlug": "us-x-iran-permanent-peace-deal-by",
      "eventTitle": "US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?",
      "category": "Iran",
      "question": "US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?",
      "modelVersion": "baseline-v1",
      "modelProb": 0.697,
      "crowdProbAtCallTime": 0.655,
      "divergencePp": 4.2,
      "openedAt": "2026-05-16T23:13:58.554530+00:00",
      "status": "PENDING",
      "resolvedAt": null,
      "resolvedOutcome": null,
      "modelBrier": null,
      "marketBrier": null,
      "voidReason": null
    },
    {
      "callId": "980ecf9a61d3fff7",
      "conditionId": "0x518a5b030b205706b8ffe6bbad9bd3de59548348e5c0471827f5de21e513333c",
      "marketId": "1809560",
      "eventSlug": "strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may",
      "eventTitle": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?",
      "category": "transit",
      "question": "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?",
      "modelVersion": "baseline-v1",
      "modelProb": 0.1087,
      "crowdProbAtCallTime": 0.0515,
      "divergencePp": 5.7,
      "openedAt": "2026-05-17T09:43:28.460583+00:00",
      "status": "PENDING",
      "resolvedAt": null,
      "resolvedOutcome": null,
      "modelBrier": null,
      "marketBrier": null,
      "voidReason": null
    },
    {
      "callId": "5991f78b7b714209",
      "conditionId": "0x22e7b5e35423e76842dd3a5e1a21d13793811080d5e7b2896d0c001bd5e97d54",
      "marketId": "553856",
      "eventSlug": "2026-nba-champion",
      "eventTitle": "2026 NBA Champion",
      "category": "Sports",
      "question": "Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?",
      "modelVersion": "baseline-v1",
      "modelProb": 0.482,
      "crowdProbAtCallTime": 0.405,
      "divergencePp": 7.7,
      "openedAt": "2026-05-19T08:23:57.903759+00:00",
      "status": "PENDING",
      "resolvedAt": null,
      "resolvedOutcome": null,
      "modelBrier": null,
      "marketBrier": null,
      "voidReason": null
    },
    {
      "callId": "bac89b0050979bde",
      "conditionId": "0x51a7c8afb7a0e09b8b47643171d90f400de23a176c4ea06f6552d6e53213839c",
      "marketId": "2241742",
      "eventSlug": "iran-closes-its-airspace-by",
      "eventTitle": "Iran closes its airspace by...?",
      "category": "Politics",
      "question": "Iran closes its airspace by June 30?",
      "modelVersion": "baseline-v1",
      "modelProb": 0.583,
      "crowdProbAtCallTime": 0.625,
      "divergencePp": -4.2,
      "openedAt": "2026-05-19T17:36:38.036136+00:00",
      "status": "PENDING",
      "resolvedAt": null,
      "resolvedOutcome": null,
      "modelBrier": null,
      "marketBrier": null,
      "voidReason": null
    }
  ]
}